Prediction Markets
Prediction markets allow participants to trade shares representing the likelihood of future events. These markets harness collective intelligence, enabling speculation on politics, sports, business, technology, cryptocurrencies, and cultural events.
How It Works
Triadmarkets empowers you to act on your predictions by choosing between two options:
- YES — Predict that the event will happen. If you are right, you earn rewards based on the accuracy of your forecast.
- NO — Predict that the event won't happen. If your prediction holds true, you receive rewards proportional to the outcome.
The price of a share reflects the aggregated probability the market assigns to a particular outcome. For example, if a share is priced at $0.70, it suggests a 70% chance of that outcome occurring.
1:1 Payout Mechanism
All Triadmarkets markets are resolved on a 1:1 basis: when a market closes, winners receive an amount equivalent to what participants on the opposite side contributed, based on the probability of the event.
How It Works
- Predictions — Users predict specific outcomes. Participants on different sides contribute to a shared pool.
- Market Probability — The more participants predict one outcome, the lower the reward (higher probability). Lower-probability predictions offer higher potential rewards.
- Resolution — After the event concludes, winners receive their share. Losers forfeit their contributions.
Example
- Two options: "Outcome A" and "Outcome B"
- 1,000 USDC is contributed to "Outcome A" and 2,000 USDC to "Outcome B"
- If "Outcome A" is correct, participants who predicted "Outcome B" lose their contributions, which are paid to "Outcome A" holders proportionally.
Fees
Trading Fees (Buy & Sell)
Triadmarkets uses a dynamic fee system based on share price:
| Price Range | Fee |
|---|---|
| $0.10 – $0.90 | 5.0% (standard) |
| $0.91 – $0.99 | 1.9% → 0.9% (reduced) |
The higher the price, the lower the fee — encouraging trading in balanced markets.
Payout Fee
- If you win: A 0.36% fee is charged only on profits (not on your original investment).
- If you lose: No fee is charged.
Example — $1,000 Investment
- Entry: You pay the trading fee (0.9% to 5.0% depending on price).
- Win: Invested $1,000, won $2,000 → Fee of $7.20 (0.36% on $2,000 profit).
- Loss: No additional fee.
Transparency
The entire process is executed through smart contracts, ensuring automatic, fast, and accurate settlement with no intermediaries.